The Brave-Butters-Kelley (BBK) Coincident Index was 0.7 standard deviations from trend growth in December 2021, and the BBK Leading Index was –0.3 standard deviations from trend growth. In annualized real gross domestic product (GDP) units, BBK Monthly GDP Growth was 4.6% in December. The trend component contributed 2.5%, the cycle component contributed 2.2%, and the irregular component contributed –0.2%. The leading subcomponent contributed –0.6% and the lagging subcomponent contributed 2.8% to the cycle component of BBK Monthly GDP Growth.
Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes,
December
2021
Indexes Suggest Growth Remained Above Trend in December