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Last Updated: 04/10/17

Economic Perspectives

Jeffrey R. Campbell, Jonas D. M. Fisher, Alejandro Justiniano, and Leonardo Melosi

If news of higher future interest rates reflects a shift in the stance of monetary policy, then we expect it to lower projections for real GDP growth and raise projections for unemployment. However, the data point to quite different conclusions.

Kei-Mu Yi and Jing Zhang

The authors explore trends in long-run real interest rates and their underlying factors for the 20 largest economies from the 1950s through the present day.

John McPartland and Rebecca Lewis

Article describes structures and incentives related to default waterfalls at central counterparties, which guarantee the performance of their clearing members’ financial contracts.

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