Indexes Suggest Growth Remained Above Trend in November
The Brave-Butters-Kelley (BBK) Coincident Index was 0.8 standard deviations from trend growth in November 2021, and the BBK Leading Index was –0.5 standard deviations from trend growth. In annualized real gross domestic product (GDP) units, the trend component of BBK Monthly GDP Growth was 2.4% in November and the cycle component was 2.8%. The leading subcomponent contributed –1.1% and the lagging subcomponent contributed 3.9% to the cycle component of BBK Monthly GDP Growth.