The Brave-Butters-Kelley (BBK) Coincident Index was 0.5 standard deviations from trend growth in March 2022, and the BBK Leading Index was –1.6 standard deviations from trend growth. In annualized real gross domestic product (GDP) units, BBK Monthly GDP Growth was 4.4% in March. The trend component contributed 2.3%, the cycle component contributed 1.5%, and the irregular component contributed 0.6%. The leading subcomponent contributed –3.2% and the lagging subcomponent contributed 4.8% to the cycle component of BBK Monthly GDP Growth.
Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes,
March
2022
Indexes Suggest Growth Moved Back Above Trend in March