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Working Papers, No. 2023-41, November 2023 Crossref
Medicaid-ing Coverage Volatility for Displaced Workers: Evidence from the 2019 Virginia Medicaid Expansion

(Revised December 2024)

Using novel administrative tax data, we study the effect of the ACA’s Medicaid expansion on health insurance coverage dynamics for over 1.6 million displaced workers. Leveraging Virginia’s Medicaid expansion, we estimate a 190% increase in Medicaid as first coverage source following job loss. We also find that the expansion immediately and persistently increased the likelihood of coverage and reduced the duration of uninsurance for displaced workers. Additionally, our findings suggest that the expansion influenced labor search dynamics, enhancing job match quality, particularly among those that came from the lower half of earnings.


Working papers are not edited, and all opinions and errors are the responsibility of the author(s). The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago or the Federal Reserve System.

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