AgLetter: April 1997
Two recent reports from the U.S. Department of Agriculture
contained divergent short- and long-term price signals
for corn and soybeans. The Grain Stocks report provided
an indication of the amount of corn and soybeans remaining
from last fall’s harvest as of March 1. It also provided
a benchmark for gauging how much of the available supplies
were used during the first-half of the marketing year
and, for soybeans, it provided a means of judging the accuracy
of last fall’s harvest estimate. For both corn and
soybeans, the report tended to firm near term price prospects
by signaling faster-than-expected use so far this marketing
year. Conversely, the Planting Intentions report
foreshadows bigger-than-expected increases in 1997 corn
and soybean seedings. The indicated acreage, if supplemented
by conducive weather conditions, could signal
ample supplies for both consumption and a rebuilding of
carryover stocks during the 1997/98 marketing year.