AgLetter: February 2000
Farmland values were up 1 percent, on average, for all of
1999 in the Seventh Federal Reserve District, according to
our January 1 survey of 370 agricultural bankers. The year
was capped off by a relatively strong 2 percent increase
during the fourth quarter (October 1—January 1), in contrast
to the sluggish performance during most of the year.
Furthermore, this represented the largest quarterly gain in
almost two years. The bankers also reported that overall
farm loan demand and fund availability were little changed
in the fourth quarter from a year earlier. The pace of loan
repayments continued to show weakness, prompting
bankers to tighten their credit standards, yet credit quality
was essentially unchanged from a year earlier. Looking
ahead, the bankers indicated that capital spending by
farmers would decline in 2000. They also believe that the
number of acres planted with seed containing genetically
modified organisms (GMO) this year will be steady to declining,
relative to a year earlier. But despite the uncertainty
surrounding the availability of markets for GMO
grain, a large majority of the bankers indicated a firm
willingness to continue financing its production.