AgLetter: February 1997
Our latest survey of agricultural banks in the Seventh Federal
Reserve District found that the rise in farmland values
slowed in the fourth quarter while credit conditions were
little changed. The nearly 400 responding banks indicated
that fourth-quarter farmland trends varied considerably
and, on average, rose less than 1 percent. The latest quarterly
rise was less than a third of the gain reported earlier
for the third quarter. Despite the slowing, strong gains in
the earlier quarters boosted the rise in District farmland
values for all of last year to 10 percent, double the rise of
the year before. Credit conditions were little changed,
with the latest measures of farm loan demand, fund availability
and farm loan interest rates holding close to previous
levels. However, the measure of farm loan repayment
rates declined, reversing the pattern of year-over-year
gains noted since the fall of 1995.